Are Under $8 New-Crop Soybeans Likely?

by John Newton

 Are Under $8 New-Crop Soybeans Likely?

Are Under $8 New-Crop Soybeans Likely?

by John Newton
 Are Under $8 New-Crop Soybeans Likely?
One of the key assumptions underlying futures and options markets is that futures prices are unbiased estimates of terminal prices and that volatility estimates inferred from put and call options are unbiased estimates of risk to the futures price. Because these principals are generally accepted, one can use the futures price and the option-implied volatility to estimate the distribution of the futures contract at expiration.
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Are Under $8 New-Crop Soybeans Likely?

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